Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.209076 3.704143 4.247182 4.886643 5.618675 6.430143 7.397575
2025-01-26 2.594785 3.261090 4.052744 5.061143 6.310020 7.804558 9.727631
2025-02-02 2.230543 3.019368 4.024015 5.393787 7.209152 9.528825 12.714381
2025-02-09 1.877720 2.717946 3.857091 5.507885 7.832031 10.979876 15.559034
2025-02-16 1.590780 2.447566 3.677032 5.559827 8.359064 12.353806 18.472282
2025-02-23 1.317781 2.145659 3.397718 5.415240 8.568750 13.289551 20.868224
2025-03-02 1.079610 1.853365 3.082280 5.158422 8.557497 13.875484 22.790412
2025-03-09 0.944880 1.702744 2.961577 5.182090 8.974092 15.149066 25.913898
2025-03-16 0.807554 1.524250 2.766578 5.049693 9.107380 15.969379 28.381192
2025-03-23 0.757382 1.490870 2.812346 5.332506 9.975380 18.097880 33.283140
2025-03-30 0.697363 1.429221 2.797453 5.500813 10.654872 19.967386 37.932259
2025-04-06 0.625750 1.333747 2.705758 5.511147 11.039813 21.344727 41.833149
2025-04-13 0.527564 1.172593 2.471366 5.225690 10.847902 21.678002 43.908501
2025-04-20 0.493766 1.140265 2.488199 5.443189 11.670345 24.028454 50.136685
2025-04-27 0.477190 1.142626 2.576541 5.819928 12.862941 27.236645 58.434200
2025-05-04 0.441207 1.095612 2.553142 5.954818 13.566147 29.538761 65.150603
2025-05-11 0.403804 1.039161 2.500806 6.018094 14.121335 31.593747 71.579501
2025-05-18 0.356280 0.950413 2.362419 5.866218 14.177906 32.592099 75.844738
2025-05-25 0.307574 0.850368 2.182733 5.591137 13.913888 32.852665 78.494205
2025-06-01 0.282116 0.806181 2.131475 5.618151 14.361282 34.750657 85.056171
2025-06-08 0.250743 0.740918 2.018425 5.475828 14.380793 35.666174 89.436159
2025-06-15 0.244110 0.742941 2.077986 5.782168 15.549668 39.407010 100.931793
2025-06-22 0.232065 0.727600 2.089684 5.964480 16.425334 42.534705 111.270700